Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Miguel Damas		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	2	1.87
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)	1.89 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
50.6%

Daniel Rincon
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Miguel Damas - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Daniel Rincon will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 274. Rincon is ranked ATP: 299.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Rincon - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.09%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Miguel Damas - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Miguel Damas - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Miguel Damas - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Daniel Rincon - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Toby Samuel - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.01.23	Miguel Damas - Daniel Rincon	0:2

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