Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Jaime Faria		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.59	2.53
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	2.44 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
61.2%

Lloyd Harris
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Lloyd Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jaime Faria - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Harris will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 136. Harris is ranked ATP: 155.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Quentin Halys - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Jaime Faria	Faria J. Walkover ✺
14.04.26	Guy Den Ouden - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WL?WL
- Lloyd Harris
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Lloyd Harris - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Dusan Lajovic - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Lloyd Harris - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Ivan Gakhov - Lloyd Harris	Gakhov I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWL?

Jaime Faria - Lloyd Harris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide