Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Miguel Tobon		Eduardo Ribeiro

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.42	Watch
	2.54	1.56
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.77)	1.51 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
38.2%

Eduardo Ribeiro
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Tobon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eduardo Ribeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Miguel Tobon - Eduardo Ribeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ribeiro will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 501. Ribeiro is ranked ATP: 407.

Tobon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ribeiro has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ribeiro is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Tibo Colson - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Andrew Fenty - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Rafael De Alba - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	James Duckworth - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLW
- Eduardo Ribeiro
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Eduardo Ribeiro	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
07.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLL?L

Upcoming Matches