Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday


	Mika Petkovic		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.49	1.47
	2.72	1.53
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.1)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Petkovic
36.9%

Alejandro Moro Canas
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Petkovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mika Petkovic's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Petkovic than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Mika Petkovic - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Petkovic is ranked ATP: 547. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 242.

Petkovic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moro Canas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Petkovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moro Canas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Petkovic
ITF Tournaments
31.05.26	Max Schoenhaus - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Viktor Durasovic - Mika Petkovic	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Mika Petkovic - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Mika Petkovic - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Mika Petkovic - Kaspar Mathes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW

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