Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HALLE (GERMANY), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Mikael Ymer		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3	1.4
	3.15	1.38
	3.32	1.37
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.26	1.34	Watch
	3	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.1)	1.37 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikael Ymer
30.5%

Brandon Nakashima
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikael Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikael Ymer's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikael Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Mikael Ymer - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikael Ymer
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Mikael Ymer	3:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
24.05.23	Arthur Fils - Mikael Ymer	Fils A. awarded ✺
22.05.23	Mikael Ymer - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.23	Mikael Ymer - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LL?WL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.23	Brandon Nakashima - Denis Shapovalov	2:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
26.05.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
25.05.23	Tommy Paul - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW

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