Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Arthur Rinderknech		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.80	1.43	Watch
	2.76	1.52
	2.91	1.43
	2.70	1.49
	2.85	1.45	Watch
	2.85	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.63)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
34.2%

Brandon Nakashima
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 29. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 31.

Rinderknech is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nakashima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nakashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Nakashima will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rinderknech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.68%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Rinderknech	Tiafoe F. Retired ✺
05.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?WLLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
23.05.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima	1:2
ATP Challenger
21.01.21	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2

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