Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Klawikowski D. (Pol)


	Tommy Paul		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.39	3
	1.38	3.28
	1.42	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.03	Watch
	1.39	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	3.04 ↑ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
68.6%

Brandon Nakashima
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Tommy Paul aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Brandon Nakashima aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Tommy Paul - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 12. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 52.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
31.07.24	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Denis Shapovalov - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
25.05.23	Tommy Paul - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
07.06.22	Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul	2:1
ATP Challenger
12.09.19	Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul	0:2

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