Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.68
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
42.9%

Leandro Riedi
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sho Shimabukuro - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 110. Riedi is ranked ATP: 169.

Shimabukuro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Riedi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shimabukuro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Leandro Riedi	Kotov P. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Leandro Riedi - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1

Sho Shimabukuro - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide