Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Pavel Kotov		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.7	Watch
	2.02	1.85
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
46.7%

Leandro Riedi
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+5%)

Pavel Kotov - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 262. Riedi is ranked ATP: 169.

Kotov is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Riedi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	Zhou Y. Retired ✺
12.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Fajing Sun - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 ?WWWW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Leandro Riedi - Mathis Bondaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.07.23	Leandro Riedi - Pavel Kotov	2:0

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