Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.65	2.35
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
59.1%

Mikhail Kukushkin
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pavel Kotov - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 262. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 283.

Kotov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kukushkin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kotov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.61%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Leandro Riedi	Kotov P. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	Zhou Y. Retired ✺
12.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Fajing Sun - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ??WWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Blake Ellis - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Jie Cui - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Daniil Glinka - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pavel Kotov	2:0

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