Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Mili Poljicak		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.6
	2.37	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.33	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.17)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
39.9%

Lukas Neumayer
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mili Poljicak - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Neumayer will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 267. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 195.

Two players are playing changeable.

Poljicak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Neumayer will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Luca Van Assche - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
05.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Lukas Neumayer - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Felipe Virgili Berini - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

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