Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ESTORIL (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday


	Miomir Kecmanovic		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.55
	1.31	3.4
	1.32	3.64
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.28	3.68	Watch
	1.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 (1.3)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miomir Kecmanovic
73%

Luca Nardi
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Miomir Kecmanovic - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Miomir Kecmanovic will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kecmanovic is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nardi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kecmanovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kecmanovic is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Miami
26.03.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.23	Denis Shapovalov - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Luca Nardi - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Max Purcell - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Luca Nardi - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Rio Noguchi - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW

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