Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis


	Mirra Andreeva		Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.16
	1.74	2.2
	1.73	2.1
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.7	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	2.17 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirra Andreeva
56.1%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirra Andreeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirra Andreeva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Mirra Andreeva - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Andreeva will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Pavlyuchenkova will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andreeva: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andreeva is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pavlyuchenkova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Andreeva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Andreeva will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirra Andreeva
WTA Beijing
01.10.23	Barbora Krejcikova - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Mirra Andreeva - Anna Kalinskaya	Kalinskaya A. retired ✺
29.09.23	Mirra Andreeva - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
30.08.23	Mirra Andreeva - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
28.08.23	Olivia Gadecki - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 W?WLW
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
WTA Tokyo
29.09.23	Veronika Kudermetova - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Linda Noskova - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.23	Elina Svitolina - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWL

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