Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Moez Echargui		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.21	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.6)	1.61 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
42.4%

Damir Dzumhur
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moez Echargui's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moez Echargui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Moez Echargui - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Echargui will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 378., and Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 100..

Echargui is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dzumhur has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Dzumhur could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dzumhur holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Echargui has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Moez Echargui - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Moez Echargui - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Moez Echargui - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Moez Echargui - Muhammad Shoaib	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Moez Echargui - Muzammil Murtaza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWW?W
- Damir Dzumhur
Davis Cup World Group II
20.09.26	Philip Henning - Damir Dzumhur	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Khololwam Montsi - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Moez Echargui - Damir Dzumhur	0:2
Davis Cup World Group I
04.03.22	Moez Echargui - Damir Dzumhur	1:2

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