Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Moez Echargui		Daniel Masur

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.67	1.99
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
54.2%

Daniel Masur
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Daniel Masur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moez Echargui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Masur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moez Echargui - Daniel Masur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 378., and Masur is ranked ATP: 406..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Echargui may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Echargui holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Moez Echargui - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Moez Echargui - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Moez Echargui - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Moez Echargui - Muhammad Shoaib	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Moez Echargui - Muzammil Murtaza	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WW?WL
- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Maxime Janvier - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Borna Gojo - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Daniel Masur - Daniel De Jonge	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Daniel Masur - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

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