What is the expert prediction for Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, August 06, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Damir Dzumhur		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.20	4.00
	1.25	3.80
	1.24	4.66
	1.17	4.38	Watch
	1.22	4.20
	1.20	3.96	Watch
	1.18	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.19 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
77.6%

Mathys Erhard
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damir Dzumhur's performance.

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathys Erhard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 104. Erhard is ranked ATP: 359.

Recent performances by Dzumhur have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Erhard is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dzumhur is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. Retired ✺
ATP Umag
18.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 W?LWW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.07.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Andrej Martin - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Jan Kumstat - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Thilo Behrmann - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Damir Dzumhur - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide