Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Moez Echargui		Raul Brancaccio

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.10
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.28	3.34	Watch
	1.31	3.05
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.57)	3.18 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
70.8%

Raul Brancaccio
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moez Echargui's performance.

Raul Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raul Brancaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moez Echargui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raul Brancaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Moez Echargui - Raul Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Echargui will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 371., and Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 227..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Echargui may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Echargui is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Echargui has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Raul Brancaccio - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Edas Butvilas - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Moez Echargui - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Moez Echargui - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Moez Echargui - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Moez Echargui - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Mika Petkovic	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Hynek Barton - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Jaume Munar - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Moez Echargui - Raul Brancaccio	2:0

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