Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Mona Barthel		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
45.3%

Mia Ristic
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mia Ristic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Mona Barthel - Mia Ristic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barthel will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Ristic will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ristic: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 217. Ristic is ranked WTA: 184.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Francesca Jones - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Mona Barthel - Radka Zelnickova	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Fiona Ferro - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.26	Francesca Jones - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW
- Mia Ristic
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Martina Colmegna - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Mia Ristic - Lina Gjorcheska	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
28.08.26	Mia Ristic - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Francisca Jorge - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW

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