Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Moyuka Uchijima		Yulia Starodubtseva

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.8	1.49
	2.81	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.73	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.34)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moyuka Uchijima
35.1%

Yulia Starodubtseva
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moyuka Uchijima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moyuka Uchijima's form might have worsened.

Yulia Starodubtseva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yulia Starodubtseva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moyuka Uchijima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yulia Starodubtseva than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yulia Starodubtseva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Moyuka Uchijima - Yulia Starodubtseva Predictions

Users Predictions: Yulia Starodubtseva will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchijima is ranked WTA: 94. Starodubtseva is ranked WTA: 53.

Uchijima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Starodubtseva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Starodubtseva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Starodubtseva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchijima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Moyuka Uchijima - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Yulia Starodubtseva - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.54%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moyuka Uchijima
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Carol Young Suh Lee	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Jasmine Paolini - Moyuka Uchijima	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Polina Kudermetova - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?LLW
- Yulia Starodubtseva
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
05.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	McCartney Kessler - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
07.02.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Moyuka Uchijima	1:2

Moyuka Uchijima - Yulia Starodubtseva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide