Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Piracicaba (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.77	1.46
	2.59	1.46
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.1)	1.46 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
36.2%

Emilio Nava
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's form might have worsened.

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilio Nava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilio Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: Emilio Nava will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 184. Nava is ranked ATP: 211.

Two players are playing changeable.

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nava will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	Renzo Olivo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Maximo Zeitune - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
25.01.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
24.01.25	Federico Coria - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
22.01.25	Emilio Nava - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Daniel Vallejo - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide