Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tallahassee, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Murphy Cassone		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	4.5	1.18	Watch
			Watch
	4.1	1.18	Watch
	4.76	1.21
	4.33	1.2	Watch
			Watch
	4.22	1.2	Watch
	4.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.2)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
21.6%

Emilio Nava
78.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murphy Cassone's form might have worsened.

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilio Nava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilio Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Murphy Cassone - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Nava will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Cassone (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cassone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 218. Nava is ranked ATP: 140.

Recent matches Cassone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nava is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nava is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nava to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cassone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLL
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Emilio Nava - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.11.23	Murphy Cassone - Emilio Nava	0:2

Murphy Cassone - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide