Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 3 (Thailand), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday


	Valentin Vacherot		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.76	1.99	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	2 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
53.6%

Murphy Cassone
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valentin Vacherot - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 200. Cassone is ranked ATP: 306.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Vacherot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.28%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.01.25	Constant Lestienne - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
31.12.24	Ryotaro Taguchi - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Shinji Hazawa - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Murphy Cassone	Cassone M. walkover ✺
12.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Rio Noguchi - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Jakub Paul - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?WLWW

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