Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Arthur Gea		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.66	2.11	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	1.95 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
52.5%

Liam Draxl
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Draxl will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liam Draxl will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 241. Draxl is ranked ATP: 132.

Draxl is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.95%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Arthur Gea - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Arthur Gea - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Arthur Gea - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Moerani Bouzige - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Gustavo Heide - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Liam Draxl - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Liam Draxl - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Liam Draxl - Mikael Arseneault	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

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