Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Andre Ilagan		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.09	1.66
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)	1.66 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
44.2%

Rio Noguchi
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ilagan will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Noguchi will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 263. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 213.

In recent matches, Ilagan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noguchi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ilagan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Connor Plunkett	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Adam Walton - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Karl Poling - Andre Ilagan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Andre Ilagan	2:1
12.01.25	Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi	0:2

Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide