Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Italy	Super Tennis
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Naomi Osaka		Amanda Anisimova

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.92	1.98
	1.86	1.98	Watch
	1.89	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
52.4%

Amanda Anisimova
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Amanda Anisimova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naomi Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanda Anisimova than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amanda Anisimova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.6%	0%	67.4%

Naomi Osaka - Amanda Anisimova Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 12 - 30%). Anisimova will win (votes: 28 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anisimova: 55.8% – 84.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Anisimova (votes: 17 - 73.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Osaka (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Anisimova (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Anisimova (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Anisimova (votes: 19 - 73.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 24. Anisimova is ranked WTA: 9.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA US Open
03.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Naomi Osaka - Cori Gauff	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Hailey Baptiste - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Greetje Minnen - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Amanda Anisimova
WTA US Open
03.09.25	Amanda Anisimova - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Amanda Anisimova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Amanda Anisimova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Amanda Anisimova - Maya Joint	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Amanda Anisimova - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
23.05.22	Amanda Anisimova - Naomi Osaka	2:0
WTA Australian Open
21.01.22	Amanda Anisimova - Naomi Osaka	2:1

Naomi Osaka - Amanda Anisimova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide