Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Naomi Osaka		Elena Rybakina

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.13	1.68
	2.25	1.75
	2.12	1.76	Watch
	2.2	1.72
	2.17	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.01)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
44%

Elena Rybakina
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Naomi Osaka - Elena Rybakina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 13. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Rybakina will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA US Open
05.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Naomi Osaka - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
11.08.26	Naomi Osaka - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Elena Rybakina
WTA US Open
05.09.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Thea Frodin - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
20.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	Rybakina E. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Toronto
11.08.26	Naomi Osaka - Elena Rybakina	1:2

Naomi Osaka - Elena Rybakina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide