Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Naomi Osaka		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.88	1.92	Watch
	1.92	1.96
	1.93	1.96
	1.85	1.95
	1.86	1.95	Watch
	1.9	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.1)	1.94 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
50.7%

Elina Svitolina
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elina Svitolina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elina Svitolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	0%	39.1%

Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 28 - 60.9%). Svitolina will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 46.8% – 75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osaka won 3.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Svitolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Miami
20.03.24	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Naomi Osaka - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
15.02.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Elina Svitolina - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Elina Svitolina - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Tatjana Maria - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
22.01.19	Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Miami
23.03.18	Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina	0:2
WTA Dubai
22.02.18	Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka	2:0
WTA Tokyo 2
24.09.16	Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka	1:2
WTA Australian Open
20.01.16	Naomi Osaka - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Tokyo
07.10.14	Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka	2:1

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