Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Nick Hardt		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.08	1.69
	1.67	2.04	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Hardt
48.7%

Lorenzo Giustino
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Nick Hardt - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hardt is ranked ATP: 569. Giustino is ranked ATP: 272.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Hardt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hardt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Nick Hardt - Lorenzo Berto	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Nick Hardt - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Richard Antoni - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Nick Hardt - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
13.10.25	Massimo Giunta - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Nick Hardt	1:2

Nick Hardt - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide