Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	2.00	1.80	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.98	1.82
	2.05	1.88
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	2.00	1.85	Watch
	2.02	1.82	Watch
	1.94	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
48.1%

Andrea Pellegrino
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 121. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 133.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.37%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Otto Virtanen	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	August Holmgren - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Tristan Boyer - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Jay Clarke - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.06.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL

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