Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roanne 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	19:30	beIN Sports MAX 6


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.84	2.02
	1.66	2.15	Watch
	1.75	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	2.07 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
54.7%

Hugo Gaston
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 149. Gaston is ranked ATP: 101.

Budkov Kjaer is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gaston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Budkov Kjaer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Henry Bernet - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Borna Gojo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Viktor Durasovic - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Clement Chidekh - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	✺

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston