Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.64	2.34
	1.30	3.34	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.82)	2.46 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
61.3%

Francesco Passaro
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolai Budkov Kjaer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Budkov Kjaer (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 155. Passaro is ranked ATP: 139.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Budkov Kjaer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.04%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Martin Landaluce - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Edas Butvilas - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Robert Strombachs - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Chris Rodesch - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Luka Pavlovic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2

Upcoming Matches