Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Matteo Martineau		Daniel Masur

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.91	1.79	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
48.5%

Daniel Masur
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Daniel Masur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Masur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Martineau - Daniel Masur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 276., and Masur is ranked ATP: 406..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Masur could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Martineau has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.92%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Daniel Masur - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Cesar Bouchelaghem	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Borna Gojo - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Max Schoenhaus - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW
- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Moez Echargui - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Maxime Janvier - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Borna Gojo - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Daniel Masur - Daniel De Jonge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.03.23	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Masur	Martineau M. retired
29.01.23	Daniel Masur - Matteo Martineau	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	✺

Matteo Martineau - Daniel Masur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide