Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Felix Balshaw		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.61
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Balshaw
40.4%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Balshaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Felix Balshaw - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Balshaw will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Balshaw is ranked ATP: 198., and Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 154..

Balshaw has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Budkov Kjaer have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Balshaw could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Budkov Kjaer is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Balshaw has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Balshaw
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Billy Harris - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Felix Balshaw	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Mark Lajal - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Billy Harris - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Rigele Te	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Felix Balshaw	2:0

Felix Balshaw - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide