Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Botic Van De Zandschulp

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.64	2.27	Watch
	1.68	2.31
	1.66	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.02)	2.26 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
57.8%

Botic Van De Zandschulp
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Botic Van De Zandschulp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botic Van De Zandschulp might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botic Van De Zandschulp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Botic Van De Zandschulp Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 201. Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 67.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Van De Zandschulp could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Arthur Cazaux - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Michelsen	Carreno-Busta P. retired ✺
22.08.24	Learner Tien - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LL?WW
- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Tokyo
24.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
03.05.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1

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