Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.15	1.37
	3.1	1.36
	3.22	1.39
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.32	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.03)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
29.7%

Brandon Nakashima
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Nakashima will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Barcelona
17.04.22	Max Alcala Gurri - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Philipp Kohlschreiber	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
10.04.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Carlos Gimeno Valero	2:1 ✺
06.04.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
25.03.22	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
23.03.22	Soon Woo Kwon - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.22	Brandon Nakashima - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
11.03.22	Adrian Mannarino - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW

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