Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Brandon Nakashima		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.84	1.97	Watch
	1.9	2.03
	1.85	2	Watch
	1.88	1.99
	1.94	1.97	Watch
	1.86	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.75)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
51.6%

Francis Tiafoe
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 22. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 1.

Nakashima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tiafoe is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati
21.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Nuno Borges - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
13.08.26	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
21.08.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Rinderknech	Tiafoe F. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
27.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
ATP Houston
05.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP Atlanta
29.07.22	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Miami
25.03.22	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Acapulco
16.03.21	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

Upcoming Matches