Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.28	3.74
	1.31	3.35	Watch
	1.32	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.54)	3.24 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
71%

Robert Strombachs
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Robert Strombachs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Varona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Alvarez Varona (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Varona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 266. Strombachs is ranked ATP: 335.

In recent matches, Alvarez Varona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alvarez Varona could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Robert Strombachs - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
27.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Johannus Monday	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?LWW?
- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Robert Strombachs - Matyas Cerny	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Robert Strombachs - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Arthur Gea - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup Group III
10.06.25	Robert Strombachs - Petar Jovanovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Florian Broska - Robert Strombachs	Broska F. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?

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