Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Final

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		George Loffhagen

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.51
	2.70	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.23)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
35.6%

George Loffhagen
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.

George Loffhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting George Loffhagen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for George Loffhagen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for George Loffhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Loffhagen will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Loffhagen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Alvarez Varona (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Varona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Loffhagen (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 298. Loffhagen is ranked ATP: 292.

Alvarez Varona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Loffhagen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Loffhagen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Loffhagen might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Loffhagen will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
26.07.25	Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Johannus Monday	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. walkover ✺
22.07.25	Fajing Sun - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WW?WL
- George Loffhagen
ATP Challenger
26.07.25	Edas Butvilas - George Loffhagen	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Rafael Jodar - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	George Loffhagen - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Ryan Peniston - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Hamish Stewart - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide