Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Johannus Monday

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2.19	1.73
	2.00	1.77	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.23)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
46.7%

Johannus Monday
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Johannus Monday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Johannus Monday Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monday (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 298. Monday is ranked ATP: 216.

Alvarez Varona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monday is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monday may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monday could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Monday will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Johannus Monday - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. walkover ✺
22.07.25	Fajing Sun - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?WLLW
- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Johannus Monday	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Arthur Reymond - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Johannus Monday - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Johannus Monday - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Johannus Monday - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Johannus Monday: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide