Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2, SporTV 3
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN USA
World	Eurosport 1


	Jack Draper		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.78
	2.1	1.74
	2.19	1.76
	2.15	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.16	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	1.75 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
45.3%

Alex De Minaur
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39%	0%	61%

Jack Draper - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 23 - 40.4%). De Minaur will win (votes: 34 - 59.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 46.9% – 72.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 25. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.

Recent matches Draper is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Minaur in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Draper won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP US Open
02.09.24	Jack Draper - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
27.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Jack Draper	Zhang Z. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.24	Jack Draper - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWW?L
- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
02.09.24	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Alex De Minaur - Daniel Evans	3:1 ✺
29.08.24	Alex De Minaur - Otto Virtanen	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Alex De Minaur - Marcos Giron	3:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
01.03.24	Jack Draper - Alex De Minaur	Draper J. retired
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.22	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	3:1

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