Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Nicolas Jarry		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.6	1.5
	2.55	1.51
	2.72	1.51
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.62	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.26)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
36.7%

Karen Khachanov
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karen Khachanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Jarry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nicolas Jarry - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Khachanov will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Jarry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jarry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.23	Nicolas Jarry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Borna Coric - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Nicolas Jarry - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Ilya Ivashka - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
31.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
30.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
30.05.17	Karen Khachanov - Nicolas Jarry	3:1

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