Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barranquilla, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Adhithya Ganesan

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.33	3.42
	1.26	3.63	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.57)	3.1 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
69.7%

Adhithya Ganesan
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.

Adhithya Ganesan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adhithya Ganesan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adhithya Ganesan than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adhithya Ganesan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nicolas Mejia - Adhithya Ganesan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mejia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 238. Ganesan is ranked ATP: 565.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mejia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - August Holmgren	Holmgren A. retired ✺
22.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Murphy Cassone - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?LLW
- Adhithya Ganesan
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Adhithya Ganesan	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Leo Vithoontien	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
19.07.25	Rinky Hijikata - Adhithya Ganesan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Marc Van Der Merwe	Van Der Merwe M. walkover ✺
15.07.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLL?W

Nicolas Mejia - Adhithya Ganesan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide