Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Leal M. (Por)


	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.57
	1.53	2.57
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.3)	2.44 ↓ (3.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
61.5%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's form might have worsened.

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samuel Vincent Ruggeri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vincent Ruggeri will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vincent Ruggeri: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Vincent Ruggeri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moreno De Alboran will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	David Goffin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWW
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Lukas Neumayer - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	Neumayer L. retired ✺
14.04.24	Dan Added - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
03.04.24	Harold Mayot - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
29.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WL?L

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide