Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran		Matias Soto

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.7
	1.37	3.24
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
68%

Matias Soto
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's performance.

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matias Soto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Moreno De Alboran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matias Soto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matias Soto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Soto will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Soto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 633. Soto is ranked ATP: 318.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Moreno De Alboran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moreno De Alboran is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Matias Soto - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.63%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Franco Ribero - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Victor Braga - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Adam Walton - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Matias Soto - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Matias Soto - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Matias Soto - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LL?LW

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide