Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Nikola Bartunkova		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.41	2.90
	1.43	3.14
	1.37	3.09	Watch
	1.39	3.10
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	3 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikola Bartunkova
68.2%

Tatjana Maria
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikola Bartunkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nikola Bartunkova - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Bartunkova (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nikola Bartunkova will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bartunkova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 34. Maria is ranked WTA: 83.

Bartunkova is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bartunkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bartunkova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikola Bartunkova
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Mayar Sherif	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
28.08.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Darja Vidmanova - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Nikola Bartunkova - En Shuo Liang	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Anastasia Potapova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWW?
- Tatjana Maria
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
03.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Isabella Marton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

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