Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Malta, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Malta 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nino Ehrenschneider		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.56	1.92	Watch
	1.81	1.96
	1.65	2.07	Watch
	1.45	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.37)	2.11 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nino Ehrenschneider
56.7%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nino Ehrenschneider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nino Ehrenschneider's form might have worsened.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nino Ehrenschneider than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nino Ehrenschneider, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nino Ehrenschneider - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ehrenschneider is ranked ATP: 539., and Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 703..

Ehrenschneider has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gonzalez Fernandez is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ehrenschneider holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Nino Ehrenschneider - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 68.58%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.42%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nino Ehrenschneider
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Mert Alkaya - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Yuta Tomida	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Qian Sun	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Isaac Becroft	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Viktor Durasovic	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Giulio Perego	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nino Ehrenschneider
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Georgii Kravchenko	✺

Nino Ehrenschneider - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez