Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)


	Novak Djokovic		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.75
	2.15	1.72
	2.17	1.74
	2.18	1.74
	2	1.8
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.05	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.91)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novak Djokovic
45.7%

Casper Ruud
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novak Djokovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novak Djokovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casper Ruud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Djokovic will win (votes: 14 - 33.3%). Ruud will win (votes: 28 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 52.4% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Djokovic Novak - withdrawn.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 4.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Ruud to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
01.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	3:2 ✺
30.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:0 ✺
28.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
24.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Casper Ruud	1:3 ✺
01.06.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Casper Ruud	1:3 ✺
30.05.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Casper Ruud	2:3 ✺
28.05.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
26.05.24	Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
11.06.23	Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud	3:0
ATP World Tour Finals
20.11.22	Casper Ruud - Novak Djokovic	0:2
ATP Roma
14.05.22	Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Cup
01.01.22	Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud	Canceled
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.21	Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Roma
20.09.20	Novak Djokovic - Casper Ruud	2:0

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