Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.74
	2.16	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
43.9%

Casper Ruud
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Ruud will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Ruud is ranked ATP: 15.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fritz won 1.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Ruud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Ruud to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fritz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Benjamin Bonzi	Bonzi B. retired ✺
25.04.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLWW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
01.09.24	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Casper Ruud	1:3
Exhibition World Tennis League
21.12.23	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:0
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.22	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.22	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled

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