Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Nuno Borges		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.25	3.90	Watch
	1.29	3.44	Watch
	1.30	3.55
	1.29	3.74	Watch
	1.30	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	3.61 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
73.7%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Diaz Acosta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nuno Borges - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 51., and Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 69..

In recent outings, Borges has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Diaz Acosta is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Borges may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Borges for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Nuno Borges - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Nuno Borges - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
20.09.26	Cesar Cruz - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Diego Duran - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Nuno Borges - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 L??WL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Max Alcala Gurri	Canceled ✺
13.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Jaume Munar - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 L?WWW

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