Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 11 September 2026, Friday
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Facundo Diaz Acosta |
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Sebastian Ofner |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Facundo Diaz Acosta 60.8% | Sebastian Ofner 39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Ofner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Ofner Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Ofner will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 82. Ofner is ranked ATP: 125.Diaz Acosta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Ofner's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Diaz Acosta could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diaz Acosta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Sebastian Ofner - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.17%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;